Sunday, 4 January 2015

Norwich City FC´s cautious (and costly) player policy



Norwich City´s last season ended in bitter disappointment, as the club finished in 18th place in the Premier League, and were relegated to the Championship as a result. While the season was a bit of a struggle all along  for the club, it was only the last few rounds that really decided the relegation. Manager Chris Hughton was unable to salvage the club, and was sacked with only five matches to go. Neil Adams took the job, but was unable to keep the club form getting relegated. After three seasons at the top tier, Norwich City FC were headed for the Championship.



While relegation is always a bitter disappointment for any club, in Norwich´s case it could be argued that it was always going to be a struggle to stay at the Premier League. In 2011-12, after getting promoted they finished  in 12th position, which was an excellent result. In 2012-13, the club performed even better, finishing in 11th position, which was their highest finishing position since 1992-93. So results-wise, everything looked bright heading for 2013-14. The club seemed to have secured their place in the Premier League, optimism was high, the club´s finances were in excellent condition. But in reality, dark clouds were already gathering above Carrow Road. 

The most remarkable thing about Norwich´s 3-year spell in the Premier League is arguably it´s financial performance. Below is presented the club´s turnover and result from the past four seasons:



Looking at the numbers it must be noted that in 2012-13 the club changed it´s financial year end from 31 may to 30 June, therefore the figures cover a 13 month-period. Still, the figures above are an impressive set of numbers for any football club. The profit in 2013 was slightly below 2012 and 2014 due to the final loan repayment to AXA Investment Managers Limited in April 2013.


But the stellar financial performance over these three years was hardly an accident. The board had been open about their goal of making sure the club´s finances are in order and that they don´t spend more than is reasonable. Back in 2009, following the club ´s relegation to League One, Norwich were burdened by debt worth £ 23 million. Over the following years, the club managed to get back-to-back promotions and found themselves in the Premier League for the 2011-12 campaign. During this period, loans were restructured and the finances, along with performances on pitch, started to look bright again. By 2013, the club was finally free of external debts, owing only intrest-free money to it´s owners. In 2013 accounts, external debt was £ 900 000, of which £ 700 000 was in preffered shares, and £ 200 000 was later paid. Non-external debt included £3,1 million to owners Delia Smith, Michael-Wynn Jones and Michael Foulger. In 2014, the director´s loan was down to £ 2,1 million.  Chairman Alan Bowkett told the BBC in October 2013: ” We're on a sound financial footing. In my view we have our best team for 20 years. The future is looking rosy. In terms of the football club going forward it gives us complete freedom to manage our own destiny”.

Being free of debt obviously helped in recording profit, since the club no longer had to take care of interest payments which, for example, were £ 2,6 million in 2011, when the club was still in the Championship.  But the problem for the club was that while being free of external debt was financially an excellent achievement, getting to that position and the insistence of keeping it that way dictated their spending on the squad. As director of finance Sam Gordon stated in 2013´s annual report: ”The Club´s future strategy is to invest all profits in to the playing squad in continued pursuit of becoming a sustainable Premier League Club”. Strong words, but without additional investment from the owners and/or increasing debt, investing only the profits wasn´t really that much. At least not in the Premier League, where big spending and ugly profits have been more of a norm than an exception. Obviously spending only what you can afford in the squad is financially smart in two ways: Firstly, there is naturally no need for external loans or equity injections, and secondly, the less money the club spends on buying players, the less are the annual amortisations of the players´contracts. Consequently, it is easier to record a profit with low amortisations. As is often the case, however, it is not easy to be both financially smart and still succesfull on pitch. 


Norwich´s wage policy is very indicative of the club´s approach to it´s finances. Below is a figure describing the club´s wages/turnover –ratio from the past four seasons in £ millions:

 
 

Since achieving promotion to Premier League, the club´s wages have been at a resonable level for a football club. In 2013-14 the wages/turnover –ratio actually declined all the way to 57 %. This was partly due to increased turnover due to bigger broadcasting income. According to the annual report, much of the players´salaries were performance related ,and since the club was relegated, the salaried were at a lower level than they would have been had the club performed better. Looking at the total wage bill from 2012-13, Norwich was, unsurprisingly, at the bottom end of the Premier League:

 

The Club´s position is hardly that surprising. It is obvious the the club wasn´t able compete with clubs like Manchester City, Chelsea or Arsenal, or even Queens Park Rangers. But is worth noting that of the four clubs ranked below Norwich, two (Reading and Wigan Athletic) were relegated.

Looking at the Premier League clubs´spending in new players in 2012-13, Norwich was at the very low end of the table, with a spending worth £ 9,8 million (figures from Transfermarkt). The story is very similar to the wage bill figure above. 

 


Once again, of the four clubs that spent less than Norwich, two (Reading and Wigan Athletic) were relegated to the Championship. The most expensive arrival to Norwich was Robert Snodgrass, who arrived from Leeds with a fee worth  £ 2,8 million. That´s hardly a huge catch for a Premier League club.  Still, the club managed to achieve 11th position. In 2013-14 the Club upped the stakes a bit in the transfer market. Players arriving were worth £ 26,4 million in total. Now Norwich was no longer among the clubs that spent the lowest amounts to new players:

 

Looking at the above figure, seven clubs spent less than Norwich, even if several clubs are at roughly the same level in the low-end of the table. In 2013-14 the problem for Norwich was obviously not the money they spent, but what they got with it. Their biggest catch was forward Ricky van Wolfswinkel, who arrived from Sporting Lisbon for £ 8,8 million. Wolfswinkel´s season was far from a success. He scored in Norwich´s opening match against Everton (2-2), but that was to remain his only goal for the whole season. He was also injured with a sprained ankle for a part of the season. All in all, he was hardly worth the money the club paid for him. While it might a bit harsh to blame one man for the relegation, clearly the money the club spent on van Wolfswinkel´s and what the club got in return was a big part of the failed season.


Both the wage bill and transfer policy are very indicative of the club´s policy during the last few years. Finances have been the priority, and building the squad has been secondary to that. Even if the club increased their spending in 2013-14, a certain cautiousness is apparent. It shoud be noted though, that with the club´s wage bill being one of the lowest in the Premier League, it was always going to be difficult to attract big names to Norwich. Still, staying in the Premier League was a vital part of the Club´s long-term strategy. As chairman David McNally said in 2013: ” As long as we're alive, we have to stay in the Premier League. It's a message I need to get across to all of my colleagues here at the football club. The board knows it, but everybody who works here needs to be focused on that”.  Once again, strong words, but now that the Club is relegated, it almost feels like they were trying to do just enough to stay in the Premier League, but not more than that, and that was always a risky strategy. With the level of investments they made, it was always going to be a struggle to stay up. In hindsight, maybe reaching the 12th and 11th positions was a little unlucky after all, giving the club a false sense of what is required to compete in the Premier League. Who knows.

Whatever the case, it should be rememberd that the board of the club did a fine job in getting the finances in order. And while criticising their cautious approach is a relevant argument, it must be remembered that Norwich just don´t have a the kind of resources that Chelsea or Manchester City, for example, have. They were never in a position to spend lots of cash on star players, and their refusal to jeopardise finances in order to do that is a sign of admirable running of the club. Still, with the approcah the club took, staying in the Premier League was always going to be like walking a tightrope.

Is there something that can be learned from Norwich´s fate, then? In hindsight, it´s always easy to speculate. But the fact remains that in an extremely competitive environment like the Premier League, success often comes through heavy investments. A cautious strategy can eventually end up being the most expensive one. It is very difficult to keep a healthy balance sheet and get good results at the same time. And when a tight budget is the number one priority, those investments that are made need to be successful. As already said, Ricky van Wolfswinkel can´t obviously be solely blamed for the relegation. But a forward who scores one goal is hardly a successful acquisition. van Wolfswinkel´s transfer fee (£ 8,8 million) was pretty much wasted, and adding his salary to that, it was an expensive miss. And for a club who spends as little as Norwich, there just isn´t room for those kind of misses. A forward who would have score 10-15 goals might have been able to make a difference, and the club might still be playing in the Premier League. That is obviously purely speculation, however.

Norwich are currently sitting at 7th place in the Championship and are in contention to get back to the Premier League. A lot of their turnover will be gone due to relegation and as a result it will be difficult to make this financial year a profitable one. Having said that, a strong balance sheet, players´contracts relegation clauses and Premier League parachute payments give the club a healthy springboard to reach for promotion. In the long term, a return to the Premier League would definitely be vital to the club. If they are to continue their prudent approach with the finances though, it will be a rocky road to being a successful club again. But it would be nice to see a well-run, profitable club playing in the Premier League again, no matter how difficult that is. There certainly aren´t too many of those clubs around.